It was a dreary London afternoon, with rain pattering against the windows of 221B Baker Street. I found Sherlock Holmes in his familiar position, curled in his armchair with several foreign newspapers spread about him. His keen eyes darted from page to page, his brow furrowed in concentration.
"Ah, Watson," he said without looking up. "I've been analyzing a most curious phenomenon across the Atlantic. Pray, take a seat."
I settled into my usual chair by the fire. "What has caught your interest today, Holmes?"
"The peculiar divergence of values in the American government," he replied, setting aside a New York publication. "It presents a fascinating study in cultural evolution and political transformation."
"I confess I've found their recent actions rather bewildering," I admitted. "Suspending military support to an ally under invasion seems unconscionable."
"Indeed." Holmes steepled his fingers beneath his chin. "Yet, the explanation becomes clear when one studies the underlying value systems at play."
"Value systems?" I inquired.
"Yes, Watson." Holmes rose and began to pace the room, his energy barely contained. "I have been examining data from the World Values Survey—a most illuminating resource that quantifies cultural beliefs across nations. The pattern is unmistakable."
"What pattern is that?"
Holmes stopped pacing and turned to me, his eyes alight. "The current American administration operates on an entirely different set of values from the rest of the Western world. It is as if they have culturally migrated eastward, while remaining physically in the same location."
"I'm not sure I follow, Holmes."
"Let me elaborate. When one examines the data on attitudes toward international cooperation, democratic principles, institutional trust, and leadership preferences, the current administration aligns not with Western Europe or the British Commonwealth, but with nations such as Russia or Turkey."
I raised my eyebrows in surprise. "Surely you exaggerate, Holmes."
"Not at all. The evidence is conclusive." Holmes reached for his pipe and began to fill it methodically. "Consider these deductions: their sudden withdrawal of support from an invaded ally suggests they view international relations as a zero-sum game rather than cooperative endeavor. Their economic policies that risk harming their own markets indicate a prioritization of perceived strength and autonomy over collaborative prosperity."
"But what would cause such a dramatic shift?" I asked. "The Americans have traditionally been champions of Western values."
Holmes lit his pipe, a cloud of smoke encircling his head as he resumed his seat. "The shift did not occur overnight, Watson. Twenty years ago, their conservative party held values quite similar to our own Conservative Party or those of France and Germany. But a gradual transformation has occurred—accelerated in recent years—creating this remarkable divergence."
"What factors drove this transformation?"
"Several, I believe." Holmes counted them off on his long fingers. "First, a growing distrust of traditional institutions—government, media, academia. Second, a reaction to global economic shifts that threatened their industrial heartland. Third, the emergence of new communication technologies that allowed like-minded individuals to reinforce their worldviews in isolation from moderating influences."
"Fascinating," I murmured.
"Indeed. But the most significant change is recent." Holmes leaned forward intently. "In their administration's first iteration, the leader's more extreme inclinations were tempered by advisors committed to traditional norms. Now, those moderating voices have been replaced by allies who share and amplify these divergent values."
"So the administration now fully embodies these different values?" I asked.
"Precisely, Watson!" Holmes exclaimed. "For the first time, we see the full expression of this value system in governance. The administration now operates on principles that seem foreign even to conservative parties elsewhere in the Western world. Their hectoring of the invaded nation's president was criticized even by prominent right-wing voices in Britain."
I shook my head, troubled. "What are the implications for international relations?"
Holmes puffed thoughtfully on his pipe. "Western nations must recognize they are dealing with an entity operating on fundamentally different assumptions. A government driven by zero-sum ideology will make threats of economic conflict that it may follow through on, despite self-harm. A leadership team that views geopolitics as a contest between strong men and great powers is one whose support other nations should become less dependent upon."
"That sounds rather ominous for the future of the Western alliance," I remarked.
"It represents a significant reconfiguration of the international order, Watson." Holmes's expression was grave. "For decades, America was the champion of Western democratic values. The current administration has charted a different course entirely."
I sat back in my chair, contemplating the implications. "It's as if we're witnessing the emergence of an entirely new political entity, merely wearing familiar clothing."
"An apt metaphor," Holmes nodded approvingly. "The next four years will be tumultuous, but navigable if other nations accept this fundamental change. British and European leaders stand a better chance of success if they acknowledge they are now effectively dealing with a different civilization—one with its own distinct values, goals, and methods."
"Elementary, indeed," I murmured, "though profoundly unsettling."
"The world changes, Watson, and we must adapt our understanding accordingly." Holmes turned his gaze to the rain-streaked window, his profile sharp against the gray London sky. "The game is afoot, but the rules have been fundamentally altered."
https://www.ft.com/content/3046013f-da85-4987-92a5-4a9e3008a9e1